Ignacio Carou vs Valerio Aboian — Prediction
08/04/2026•21:40
Ignacio / Gonzalo
0:2
6•7
4•6
Finished
Valerio / Santiago
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Ignacio Carou faces Valerio Aboian in an ATP match in Campinas. Carou, struggling recently (1 win in 10), is up against Aboian, who is more consistent (3 wins in 10). Recent statistics and odds suggest an advantage for Aboian, with a high probability of a match in two sets.
Our predictions
Victory for Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian shows significantly better form with 3 wins in his last 10 matches, compared to only 1 for Ignacio Carou. Additionally, Aboian has a 70% win rate as a favorite, while Carou has a 90% loss rate over the same period. No reported injuries contradict this trend.
1.5
Confidence
High
Less than 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics indicate a high probability of a match in two sets. Aboian has finished 80% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) in two sets, and Carou 70%. Furthermore, when Aboian is the favorite, this rate rises to 80%. The recent form of the players suggests an unbalanced match.
1.3
Confidence
High
Less than 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a match in two sets (potentially 6-3, 6-4 or similar scores), the total number of games should stay under 22.5. Carou's poor form could lead to one-sided sets in favor of Aboian. However, slight resistance from Carou remains possible, hence medium confidence.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 1 9 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 16% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 20% |
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