Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Cigarran — Prediction
09/04/2026
Valerio / Santiago
21:30
Today
Thiago / Facundo
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Valerio Aboian faces Thiago Cigarran in an ATP match on clay in Campinas. Aboian, in difficult recent form (3 wins out of 10), is up against Cigarran, who shows more solid statistics (1 win out of 3) but a limited sample. Historical data suggests a high probability of a two-set match.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Historical statistics for both players show a strong tendency towards two-set matches. Aboian finished 80% of his last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) in two sets, and Cigarran 66.7% of his last 3. No data suggests a three-set extension.
1.5
Confidence
High
Victory for Thiago Cigarran
Although the sample is limited, Cigarran shows a higher recent win percentage (33.3%) than Aboian (30%). Furthermore, Aboian has lost 70% of his last 10 matches. In the absence of injury information, Cigarran appears slightly more in form.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the probability of a two-set match, the total number of games should be relatively low. If one player clearly dominates, a two-set score (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) would total 19 games, below the limit. However, tight sets could push it over this threshold.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 1 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 16% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 20% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers