Martin Landaluce vs Hugo Gaston — Prediction
10/04/2026•13:10
#79
Martin Landaluce
0:0
3•3
1st Set
#62
Hugo Gaston
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Martin Landaluce, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Hugo Gaston in an ATP match in Monza. Landaluce shows solid form (80% wins in the last 10 matches) and good efficiency as a favorite at medium odds. Gaston, more experienced, has decent form (70% wins) but less convincing statistics as an underdog against similar odds. No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency for three-set matches for both players.
Our predictions
Martin Landaluce to Win
Landaluce is the favorite (odds 1.7) and shows excellent recent form (80% wins in 10 matches). His statistics as a favorite at odds 1.21-1.50 are very good (80% wins). Gaston has less solid performances as an underdog against similar odds (0% wins at odds 1.21-1.5, 50% at 1.51-1.8). The momentum and favorite status favor Landaluce.
1.7
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Both players' statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Landaluce has 50% of matches going to three sets outside Grand Slams, and Gaston often loses a set as a favorite (60-80% depending on odds). Furthermore, Landaluce very often wins at least one set as an underdog (90-100%), suggesting he can push Gaston. The combination of these factors makes a two-set match unlikely.
2.33
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a three-set match, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. The playing styles and resilience statistics of both players (Landaluce often winning sets as an underdog, Gaston losing them as a favorite) suggest contested sets, favoring a high game count.
1.93
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 20% |
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