Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova — Prediction
10/04/2026

#19

Donna Vekic
18:00
Today

#2

Karolina Pliskova
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X
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Match Preview
Donna Vekic, the designated favorite, faces Karolina Pliskova in a tight match at the Upper Austria Ladies Linz. Recent statistics show solid form for both players, with Vekic slightly more performant as a favorite. No major injuries are reported. A two-set match is likely, but Pliskova's resistance could extend the encounter.
Our predictions
Victory for Donna Vekic
Donna Vekic is the designated favorite (odds 1.81) and shows a win rate of 70% in her last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Pliskova. As a favorite, her win rate is 70% (vs. 50% for Pliskova). Her recent form and favorite status put her in a strong position.
1.83
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
Outside Grand Slams, both players have a two-set match rate of 70% in their last 10 matches. When Vekic is favorite, she finishes in 2 sets 70% of the time. Pliskova, as a favorite, finishes in 2 sets 50% of the time, but as an outsider, this rate rises to 50-60%. The probability of a two-set match is high.
1.54
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Although a two-set match is likely, the players' resilience statistics suggest tight sets. Vekic loses at least one set as a favorite in 50% of cases, and Pliskova wins at least one set as an outsider in 70% of cases. This could lead to sets with a high number of games (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) or even a third set, thus exceeding the 22.5 games threshold.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 20% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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