Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Tagger — Prediction
10/04/2026
#27
Anastasia Potapova
16:00
Today
#66
Lilli Tagger
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Anastasia Potapova, experienced and ranked, faces young Lilli Tagger in the qualifying rounds of the WTA Linz tournament. Potapova is the favorite on paper, but her recent form is inconsistent. Tagger, the underdog, shows some steadiness. The match could be tighter than the odds suggest.
Our predictions
Victory for Lilli Tagger
Lilli Tagger is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.75). Her recent statistics are solid: 70% wins in the last 10 matches and an 80% win rate when favored. Against Potapova, whose form is fluctuating (50% recent wins) and who often loses a set even when favored (80%), confidence in Tagger is justified.
1.77
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
Both players' statistics outside Grand Slam tournaments strongly lean towards matches ending in two sets. Potapova finishes 60% of her recent matches in 2 sets, Tagger 70%. Furthermore, when Tagger is favored, she wins in 2 sets 50% of the time. The probability of a quick match is high.
1.56
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in two sets. If Tagger wins 2-0, a typical score like 6-3, 6-4 would total 19 games. Potapova can be erratic, which could lead to tighter sets (e.g., 7-5) and increase the total. However, the general trend of both players towards short matches supports the 'under' option.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 80% |
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