11/04/2026

#251

Fajing Sun

07:30

Today

#71

Pavel Kotov

Match Preview

Pavel Kotov, the clear favorite (odds 1.31), faces Fajing Sun (odds 3.27) in an ATP tournament in Wuning. Kotov is in impeccable form with 10 consecutive wins, while Sun has a mixed record (6W/4L). Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match in terms of sets.

Our predictions

Pavel Kotov to Win

Pavel Kotov is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.31). His form is exceptional with 10 wins in his last 10 matches (100% win rate). As a favorite, he wins 100% of his matches (10/10). Fajing Sun, although competitive (60% win rate), has lost 40% of his recent matches and lacks recent Grand Slam statistics, indicating a lower level. No injury alerts have been reported for either player.

1.31

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics suggest a high probability of a 3-set match. As a favorite, Kotov loses at least 1 set in 30% of his recent matches (3/10). Sun, as an underdog, wins at least 1 set in 60% of his recent matches (6/10). Furthermore, in non-Grand Slam matches, Kotov plays 50% of his matches in 3 sets (5/10), and Sun 20% (2/10), but as an underdog, Sun plays 40% of his matches in 3 sets (4/10). The combination of Sun's resilience and Kotov's occasional tendency to drop a set supports this bet.

2.62

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Fajing Sun	Pavel Kotov
Win \| Lose	6 4	10
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	75%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	37%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	62%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	55%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	80%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	55%	0%

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