Guido Andreozzi vs Marcelo Arevalo — Prediction
11/04/2026
Guido / Manuel
11:00
Today
Marcelo / Mate
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Marcelo Arevalo, the clear favorite (odds 1.52), faces Guido Andreozzi (odds 2.37) at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Arevalo shows solid form with 80% wins in his last 10 matches, compared to only 10% for Andreozzi. Statistics suggest a two-set match.
Our predictions
Victory for Marcelo Arevalo
Arevalo is the undisputed favorite with odds of 1.52. His recent form is excellent (8 wins/10), while Andreozzi is struggling (1 win/10). The win statistics as a favorite are identical (60%), but the current momentum and odds strongly favor Arevalo.
1.54
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a two-set match. If Arevalo wins 2-0, a typical score like 6-3, 6-4 would total 19 games. Andreozzi's poor form (10% wins) reduces the likelihood of tight sets or a tie-break, favoring a total games under 22.5.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 1 9 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 83% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 77% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 0% |
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