Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner — Prediction
11/04/2026
#2
Alexander Zverev
13:30
Today
#1
Jannik Sinner
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Jannik Sinner, the clear favorite (odds 1.17), faces Alexander Zverev at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Sinner is in exceptional form (10 wins in last 10 matches) and dominates on clay. Zverev, solid but the underdog, will need to produce a great performance to cause an upset.
Our predictions
Jannik Sinner to Win
Sinner is the undisputed favorite with impeccable form (10 consecutive wins, 100% win rate as favorite). His clay court statistics outside Majors (90% of matches in 2 sets as favorite) and his very low odds (1.17) confirm his expected dominance. No injuries reported.
1.17
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
The data is very clear: Sinner finishes 90% of his matches (outside Majors) in 2 sets when he is the favorite. Zverev, as the underdog, wins a set in only 20% of cases (statistic 'win1set_asoutsider_g' at 40%, but against such a strong favorite, the actual percentage could be lower). The probability of a 2-0 match is therefore very high.
1.37
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
Sinner has won 90% of his recent non-Major matches in 2 sets (best-of-3 format). Zverev, as the underdog, has lost 80% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a straight-sets match is high, making 'Under 22.5 games' (typical for a 6-4, 6-3 or 6-4, 6-4) very plausible.
1.66
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 10 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 20% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 10% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 40% | 10% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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