Mattia Bellucci vs Dino Prizmic — Prediction
11/04/2026
#60
Mattia Bellucci
12:30
Today
#106
Dino Prizmic
-
1
-
X
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2
Match Preview
ATP match in Monza between Mattia Bellucci (underdog) and Dino Prizmic (favorite). Prizmic is clearly favored with odds of 1.34, supported by good recent form (70% win rate). Bellucci, despite underdog status, shows an ability to win sets (50% success as underdog). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a chance of over 2.5 sets.
Our predictions
Victory of Dino Prizmic
Dino Prizmic is the clear favorite (odds 1.34). He shows solid form with 70% wins in the last 10 matches and a 70% win rate as favorite. Against a statistically inferior opponent, his victory is the most likely scenario.
1.34
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If Prizmic wins the match in two sets (favorite scenario with 50% probability as favorite according to 'en2set' stats), a total games count under 22.5 is plausible. Even in three sets, if the sets are one-sided (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-2), the total can remain under the threshold. Prizmic's potentially dominant form supports this bet.
1.79
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Bellucci has a 50% chance of winning at least one set as an underdog. Prizmic loses a set in 60% of cases as favorite. Furthermore, 40% of Prizmic's recent non-Grand Slam matches have gone to three sets. This indicates a significant probability of a three-set match.
2.56
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 66% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 42% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 57% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 28% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 57% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
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