Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot — Prediction
11/04/2026
#1
Carlos Alcaraz
15:30
Today
#23
Valentin Vacherot
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Carlos Alcaraz, favorite and seeded player, faces Valentin Vacherot, underdog, at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Alcaraz, with a very low odd, is expected for a clear win, but Vacherot could win a set.
Our predictions
Carlos Alcaraz to Win
Alcaraz is the clear favorite with an odd of 1.06. His stats show 80% win rate overall and 80% as favorite. He is far superior in ranking and clay-court experience.
1.06
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets
Alcaraz has 70% of matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. As favorite, this rate is 70%. Vacherot has 40% of matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. The probability of a 2-set match is high.
1.22
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 80% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 20% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 80% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 30% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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