11/04/2026

#14

Ethan Quinn

10:30

Today

#17

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Match Preview

Young American Ethan Quinn faces the experienced Nikoloz Basilashvili in the qualifying rounds of the Barcelona tournament on clay. Quinn is the bookmakers' favorite, but Basilashvili possesses significant experience and powerful play.

Our predictions

Ethan Quinn to Win

Ethan Quinn is the designated favorite (odds 1.62). His recent form statistics are solid (70% win rate in last 10 matches). As a favorite, he has a 60% win rate. No injury alerts have been reported. Although Basilashvili is experienced, his form is slightly lower (60% win rate) and he is less successful as an outsider (40% win rate). The surface (clay) and context (qualifying) seem to favor the favorite.

1.62

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

This match is played in a best-of-2 sets format (non-Grand Slam). Statistics show a strong trend towards 2-set matches for both players in this format: Quinn has 80% of his matches in 2 sets, Basilashvili 90%. When they are favorites, their percentages remain very high (80% and 70% respectively). The probability of a 3-set match is low (20% for Quinn, 10% for Basilashvili). Confidence in a Quinn win in 2 sets is consistent with this bet.

1.57

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Ethan Quinn	Nikoloz Basilashvili
Win \| Lose	7 3	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	80%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%

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