Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Prediction
11/04/2026
#14
Ethan Quinn
10:30
Today
#17
Nikoloz Basilashvili
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X
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2
Match Preview
Young American Ethan Quinn faces the experienced Nikoloz Basilashvili in the qualifying rounds of the Barcelona tournament on clay. Quinn is the bookmakers' favorite, but Basilashvili possesses significant experience and powerful play.
Our predictions
Ethan Quinn to Win
Ethan Quinn is the designated favorite (odds 1.62). His recent form statistics are solid (70% win rate in last 10 matches). As a favorite, he has a 60% win rate. No injury alerts have been reported. Although Basilashvili is experienced, his form is slightly lower (60% win rate) and he is less successful as an outsider (40% win rate). The surface (clay) and context (qualifying) seem to favor the favorite.
1.62
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
This match is played in a best-of-2 sets format (non-Grand Slam). Statistics show a strong trend towards 2-set matches for both players in this format: Quinn has 80% of his matches in 2 sets, Basilashvili 90%. When they are favorites, their percentages remain very high (80% and 70% respectively). The probability of a 3-set match is low (20% for Quinn, 10% for Basilashvili). Confidence in a Quinn win in 2 sets is consistent with this bet.
1.57
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 40% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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