Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Prediction
11/04/2026
#17
Francesco Maestrelli
10:30
Today
#52
Daniel Merida Aguilar
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Match Preview
Francesco Maestrelli faces Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Barcelona Open qualification on clay. Merida Aguilar is the favorite with odds of 1.44, while Maestrelli is the underdog at 2.62. Recent statistics show stronger form for Merida Aguilar, with a 60% win rate in the last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Maestrelli. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Daniel Merida Aguilar to Win
Merida Aguilar is clearly the favorite (odds 1.44). In the last 10 matches, he has a 60% win rate compared to 30% for Maestrelli. As a favorite, he wins 80% of his matches. His recent form and statistics put him in a strong position.
1.44
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Merida Aguilar, although favorite, loses at least one set in 60% of his matches as favorite. Maestrelli, as underdog, wins at least one set in 40% of his matches. Set statistics (80% of Merida Aguilar's matches go to 3 sets) suggest a potentially tight match.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 37% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 62% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 75% |
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