Jesper De Jong vs Benjamin Bonzi — Prediction
11/04/2026
#108
Jesper de Jong
12:00
Today
#56
Benjamin Bonzi
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Jesper de Jong, the betting favorite, faces Benjamin Bonzi in the Barcelona Open qualifiers on clay. De Jong, although favored, shows mixed recent form (4 wins in last 10 matches). Bonzi, more experienced, has a better recent performance (6W/4L). Statistics indicate a high probability of a close match with over 2.5 sets.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets
De Jong, the favorite, often loses a set when favored (90% in his last 10 matches). Bonzi often wins at least one set as an outsider (50%). Their 'en3set' stats (non-Majors) show a tendency for 3-set matches (70% for De Jong as favorite, 30% for Bonzi). De Jong's odds (1.54) are in the range where he often loses a set.
2.3
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games
A 3-set match (main prediction) makes this bet likely. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Player tendencies (De Jong often losing a set, Bonzi competitive) suggest contested sets, increasing the total number of games.
1.87
Confidence
Medium
Benjamin Bonzi to win
Bonzi has better recent form (6W/4L vs 4W/6L for De Jong). He is more experienced. As an outsider, De Jong wins only 20% of the time, while Bonzi wins 80% of the time when favored. The odds of 2.35 offer value given the form dynamics and win statistics.
2.39
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 90% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 37% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 87% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers