Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Prediction
11/04/2026
#57
Marco Trungelliti
12:00
Today
#139
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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Match Preview
Marco Trungelliti, favorite with odds of 1.57, shows solid form (90% wins in last 10 matches) and good performance as favorite (80%). Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, underdog (odds 2.25), has mixed statistics (50% wins) and struggles as underdog (20%). No injuries reported. The match is played in the qualifying round of the Barcelona tournament on clay, a traditional surface.
Our predictions
Marco Trungelliti to win
Trungelliti is in great form with 90% wins in his last 10 matches and an 80% performance as favorite. He faces Budkov Kjaer who has only 20% wins as underdog. The odds of 1.57 offer good value given the level and form gap.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Trungelliti wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams, and Budkov Kjaer wins 60%. When Trungelliti is favorite, he wins 50% of his matches in 2 sets, and Budkov Kjaer 70%. The probability of a match in 2 sets is high, supporting the 'Under 2.5 sets' bet.
1.54
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a match in 2 sets (6-4, 6-4 or similar scores), the total number of games should remain below the 22.5 threshold. The quick set statistics of both players, especially as favorite/underdog, reinforce this scenario.
1.84
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 9 1 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 16% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 71% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 71% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
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