Aleksandar Vukic vs Otto Virtanen — Prediction
11/04/2026
#51
Aleksandar Vukic
10:30
Today
#90
Otto Virtanen
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X
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Match Preview
Barcelona Open qualification match on clay between Aleksandar Vukic, struggling recently (2 wins in 10), and Otto Virtanen, the bookmakers' favorite with more solid form (6 wins in 10). Virtanen performs better as a favorite and on this surface, making him the most serious candidate for qualification.
Our predictions
Otto Virtanen to Win
Otto Virtanen is the clear favorite (odds 1.62). His recent form is superior (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 20% for Vukic). He shows a 70% win rate as a favorite, compared to 50% for Vukic. On clay, his statistics as an outsider (80% chance to win a set) show his competitiveness. No injury alerts have been reported for either player.
1.44
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a three-set match. A two-set match with tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) totals 22 games, just below the limit. A three-set match, even with an easy set, easily exceeds 22.5 games (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 = 27 games). Given the likelihood of a three-set match and the slow clay surface favoring long rallies, the total number of games should exceed 22.5.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 37% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 62% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 71% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 25% |
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