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Jan Choinski - Marc-Andrea Huesler: our prediction

11/04/2026•11:05

#101

Jan Choinski

1:2

4•6

6•4

4•6

Finished

#58

Marc-Andrea Huesler

Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Preview — BMW Open, Qualification

Jan Choinski, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Marc-Andrea Huesler in the BMW Open qualifiers. Choinski shows more solid form and better efficiency as a favorite in non-Grand Slam tournaments. Huesler, more irregular, could offer resistance.

Our Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Huesler predictions

Jan Choinski to win

Choinski is the clear favorite (odds 1.50). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 60% win rate overall and 85.7% win rate with odds between 1.21 and 1.50. His recent form (5W/5L) is better than Huesler's (3W/7L). In non-Grand Slam tournaments, he wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets when favored, indicating an ability to finish quickly.

1.56

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Historical data from both players in non-Grand Slam tournaments indicates a high probability of a 2-set match. Choinski wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets as a favorite. Huesler, as a favorite, wins 50% in 2 sets, but as an underdog, he loses 60% of his matches in 2 sets. Huesler's recent form (70% losses) suggests he may struggle to push Choinski to a 3rd set.

1.55

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a Choinski win in 2 sets. If Choinski dominates as expected (potentially 6-3, 6-4 or similar scores), the total number of games should stay under 22.5. Choinski's statistics as a favorite (80% wins in 2 sets) support this scenario. However, Huesler has the ability to win a set as an underdog (70%), which introduces uncertainty about the exact score.

1.84

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Huesler

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jan Choinski	Marc-Andrea Huesler
Win \| Lose	5 5	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	16%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	83%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	75%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	85%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%