Xinyu Wang vs Manon Leonard — Prediction
11/04/2026
#32
Xinyu Wang
13:00
Today
#250
Manon Leonard
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Xinyu Wang, the clear favorite (odds 1.09), faces Manon Leonard in the Rouen qualifiers. Wang, ranked much higher, shows solid form (70% win rate as favorite) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (90% as favorite). Leonard, the outsider (odds 6.5), has less convincing recent statistics (30% overall win rate). No known injury alerts. The match should be dominated by Wang, with a likely victory in two sets.
Our predictions
Victory for Xinyu Wang
Wang is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.09). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (70% win rate). She shows superior recent form (40% wins in last 10 matches vs 30% for Leonard) and her WTA ranking is much higher. No injuries reported. The odds value is low, but the probability of victory is very high.
1.08
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
If Wang dominates as expected in 2 sets (6-3, 6-3 or 6-2, 6-2), the total games would be 18 or 20, well below 22.5. However, occasional resistance from Leonard or a tighter set could push it over this threshold. The probability of a short match is high, but the 'under' bet on games is more speculative than the simple win in 2 sets.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 55% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 75% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 25% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
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