Rugby

Tennis

Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano: our prediction

11/04/2026•22:40

#186

Luka Pavlovic

0:2

3•6

4•6

Finished

#164

Stefano Napolitano

Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano Preview — Mexico City

Close match between Luka Pavlovic and Stefano Napolitano in Mexico City. Napolitano is a slight favorite (odds 1.78) and shows a better two-set win statistic (70%) in recent non-Grand Slam matches. Pavlovic, however, is very competitive as an underdog, often winning at least one set (80%). No injuries reported. A three-set match is likely.

Our Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Pavlovic wins at least one set in 80% of his matches as an underdog. Napolitano loses one set in 50% of his matches as a favorite. Their overall set statistics (70% three-set matches for Pavlovic, 30% for Napolitano) point towards a long match.

2.2

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A three-set match (previous prediction) makes a total games over 22.5 very likely. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. The likelihood of a close match supports this bet.

1.81

Confidence

High

Victory for Stefano Napolitano

Napolitano is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.78). He has an excellent two-set win statistic (70%) and good performance as a favorite (70% wins). However, Pavlovic is a tough opponent, which explains the medium confidence.

1.69

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Luka Pavlovic	Stefano Napolitano
Win \| Lose	7 3	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	90%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	20%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	66%

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