Maria Timofeeva vs Chloe Paquet — Prediction
12/04/2026
#105
Maria Timofeeva
11:00
Today
#117
Chloe Paquet
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Maria Timofeeva, the clear favorite with odds at 1.38, faces Chloé Paquet in the Rouen qualifiers. Timofeeva shows better recent form (6 wins in 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win her matches in 2 sets (80%). Paquet, less consistent (4 wins in 10), could offer resistance but logic favors the Russian.
Our predictions
Maria Timofeeva to win
Timofeeva is the clear favorite (odds 1.38). Her recent form is superior (60% win rate vs 40% for Paquet). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (80% of matches won in 2 sets). No known injury alerts. Statistical logic and favorite status point to her as the most likely winner.
1.39
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Timofeeva finishes 80% of her matches (non-Grand Slam) in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate remains 80%. Paquet, on her side, loses 60% of her matches and often loses them in 2 sets (70% as a favorite, 70% as an underdog). The probability of a match in 2 sets (2-0 or 0-2 victory) is therefore high.
1.42
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a match in 2 sets, the total number of games tends to be contained. If Timofeeva dominates as expected (potential 2-0), scores like 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) or 6-2, 6-4 (18 games) are plausible and remain under the 22.5 threshold. The risk comes from a tight set (e.g., 7-5) that could increase the total.
1.6
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 14% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 25% |
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