Rugby

Tennis

Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov: our prediction

14/04/2026•11:10

#23

Tallon Griekspoor

1:2

4•6

6•3

2•6

Finished

#14

Denis Shapovalov

Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov Preview — BMW Open

Close match between Tallon Griekspoor and Denis Shapovalov at the BMW Open. Shapovalov is a slight favorite, but Griekspoor has shown solid form recently. No injuries reported. A three-set match is likely.

Our Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show both players have a strong tendency for three-set matches outside Majors (Griekspoor 30%, Shapovalov 50%). Also, Shapovalov often loses a set as favorite (60%), and Griekspoor often wins a set as underdog (50%). The odds are balanced, suggesting a close match.

2.2

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A three-set match (prediction 1) increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Also, both players have high percentages of losing a set as favorite (60% each), indicating tight sets. The odds of 1.94 offer value.

1.78

Confidence

Medium

Victory of Denis Shapovalov

Shapovalov is designated favorite (fav: away) with odds of 1.82. His win statistics as favorite are good (60% global). However, Griekspoor is in form (60% wins in last 10 matches) and can be dangerous. Confidence is medium due to odds proximity and Griekspoor's form.

1.81

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tallon Griekspoor	Denis Shapovalov
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	40%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	80%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%