Rugby

Tennis

Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino: our prediction

13/04/2026•18:10

#33

Nuno Borges

2:0

6•3

6•4

Finished

#22

Adrian Mannarino

Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino Preview — Barcelona Open

Nuno Borges, the clear favorite (odds 1.23), faces Adrian Mannarino (odds 4.06) at the Barcelona Open on clay. Recent statistics show that Borges, although favored, often loses a set, while Mannarino is a combative underdog capable of winning sets.

Our Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino predictions

Nuno Borges to Win

Nuno Borges is the designated favorite (odds 1.23). In his last 10 matches as favorite, he has a win rate of 40% (4/10). Although this rate is not overwhelming, it is significantly higher than Mannarino's 20% win rate as an underdog. The low odds reflect market perception. No injury alerts found.

1.2

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets (Match to go to 3 Sets)

The players' statistics as favorite/underdog suggest a close match. Borges, as favorite, loses at least one set in 90% of his recent matches (9/10). Mannarino, as underdog, wins at least one set in 60% of his recent matches (6/10). Furthermore, on clay (non-Grand Slam), Mannarino has a 60% rate of matches going to 3 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is high.

2.88

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

This prediction is consistent with the expectation of a 3-set match. A 2-set match (6-4, 6-4) totals 20 games, below the limit. A 3-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Given the high probability of 3 sets and Mannarino's combative style which can lead to tight sets, 'Over 22.5' is a reasonable bet with medium confidence.

2.4

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nuno Borges	Adrian Mannarino
Win \| Lose	2 8	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%