Marco Trungelliti vs Pedro Martinez — Prediction
12/04/2026
#57
Marco Trungelliti
13:45
Today
#41
Pedro Martinez
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Marco Trungelliti, the betting favorite, faces Pedro Martinez in the qualifying rounds of the Barcelona tournament on clay. Trungelliti shows solid form with 90% recent wins, while Martinez is more inconsistent (40%). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match, with a high likelihood of both players winning at least one set.
Our predictions
Marco Trungelliti to Win
Trungelliti is the clear favorite (odds 1.79) and shows exceptional form with 90% wins in his last 10 matches. His win rate as a favorite is 90%. Martinez, with only 40% recent wins and odds of 1.95, appears to be struggling. No injury alerts have been reported.
1.81
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets (Match in 3 Sets)
The players' statistics as favorite/underdog suggest a close match. Trungelliti loses at least one set 60% of the time as a favorite. Martinez wins at least one set 40% of the time as an underdog. Furthermore, the 'en3set' stat for Trungelliti (favorite) is 60%, and for Martinez (underdog) 'en2setoutsider' is 80%, but 'en3setoutsider' is low (20%). The favorite/underdog dynamic and recent form point to a three-set match.
2.29
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of a three-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding the 22.5 games mark. A match in two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) would total 24 games. A three-set match, even with an easy set, often surpasses this mark. Considering the players' form and resilience statistics, the most likely scenario is a match with many games.
1.94
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 9 1 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 20% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 16% | 80% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 40% |
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