Romain Arneodo vs Alex Marti Pujolras — Prediction
13/04/2026


Romain / Marc
12:30
Today


Alex / Inaki
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X
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Match Preview
Romain Arneodo faces Alex Marti Pujolras in the first round of qualifying for the Barcelona tournament on clay. Arneodo, struggling with just 1 win in his last 10 matches, takes on Marti Pujolras, who is in slightly better form with 3 wins out of 10. Recent statistics suggest a tight match, with a high probability of the contest going to three sets.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show Alex Marti Pujolras plays 50% of his matches in 3 sets. As an outsider, this percentage rises to 60%. Romain Arneodo, although playing fewer 3-set matches overall (22.2%), wins at least one set in 33.3% of his matches as an outsider. The recent form of both players (1 win/10 for Arneodo, 3/10 for Marti Pujolras) and the lack of information on a clear favorite suggest a balanced match likely to go the distance.
1.8
Confidence
High
Victory for Alex Marti Pujolras
Alex Marti Pujolras shows slightly better form than Romain Arneodo over the last 10 matches (3 wins vs 1). His statistics as a favorite (33.3% wins) and as an outsider (20%) are superior to Arneodo's (0% as favorite, 16.7% as outsider). Furthermore, Marti Pujolras shows a strong ability to win at least one set as an outsider (80%), indicating resilience that could make the difference in a tight match. No injury information was found for either player.
1.65
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match may go to 3 sets, the delicate form of both players (low win rate in the last 10 matches) could lead to uncontested sets with early breaks. Arneodo has a high rate of defeats in 2 sets (77.8% outside Grand Slams). Marti Pujolras, when favored, often loses a set (83.3%), but this does not guarantee very tight sets in terms of games. A possible scenario is a 3-set match with at least one set ending 6-3 or 6-2, limiting the total number of games.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 1 9 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 16% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 83% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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