Ekaterina Alexandrova - Gabriela Knutson: our prediction
14/04/2026•15:45

#10

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2:0
6•2
6•2
Finished

#165

Gabriela Knutson
-
1
-
X
-
2
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Gabriela Knutson Preview — Porsche Tennis Grand Prix
Ekaterina Alexandrova, the clear favorite, faces Gabriela Knutson, the underdog, at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix. Alexandrova, more experienced and higher-ranked, is heavily favored. Recent statistics show she often wins in two sets when favored, but also frequently drops a set. Knutson, on the other hand, has shown an ability to win sets against favorites. No injuries are reported.
Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Gabriela Knutson predictions
Victory for Ekaterina Alexandrova
Alexandrova is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.10). She is more experienced, higher-ranked, and her statistics as a favorite (70% wins in 2 sets in her last 10 non-Grand Slam matches) confirm her superiority. No injuries reported.
1.11
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
As the favorite, Alexandrova has won 70% of her last 10 non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Knutson, as the underdog, has lost 50% of her last 10 matches in 2 sets. The probability of a quick match in favor of the favorite is high.
1.29
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If Alexandrova wins in two sets (main prediction), a tight score like 6-4, 6-3 would total 19 games. Alexandrova's set loss statistics (70% of the time when favored) suggest one set could be competitive, but the level difference should limit the total number of games.
1.34
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Gabriela Knutson
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Gabriela Knutson Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 37% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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