Rugby

Tennis

Maria Timofeeva - Katie Boulter: our prediction

13/04/2026•19:45

#105

Maria Timofeeva

0:2

2•6

Finished

#29

Katie Boulter

Maria Timofeeva vs Katie Boulter Preview — Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole

Katie Boulter, the clear favorite (odds 1.45), faces Maria Timofeeva (odds 2.68) at the Rouen tournament. Boulter shows excellent recent form (5 wins/10) and an impressive 90% win rate as a favorite. Timofeeva, the underdog, has a good ability to win at least one set (70%). No known injury alerts. The match should be close, with a high probability of Boulter winning, potentially in three sets.

Our Maria Timofeeva vs Katie Boulter predictions

Katie Boulter to Win

Katie Boulter is the designated favorite (odds 1.45) with solid form (5W/5L in last 10). Her 90% win rate as a favorite is very convincing. Maria Timofeeva, while capable (60% overall wins), has a lower win rate as an underdog (40%). Boulter's consistency in favorite situations makes her more reliable for this match.

1.46

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The probability of a three-set match (see bet 2) significantly increases the total number of games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Considering Timofeeva's defensive tendencies (70% set win as underdog) and Boulter's ability to close sets, a high total games count is plausible.

2.24

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Boulter loses a set as a favorite 30% of the time. Timofeeva wins at least one set as an underdog 70% of the time. These statistics, combined with Boulter often playing three-set matches (40% outside Majors), suggest a high probability that Timofeeva wins a set, leading to a three-set match.

2.45

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Maria Timofeeva vs Katie Boulter

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Maria Timofeeva vs Katie Boulter Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Maria Timofeeva	Katie Boulter
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	14%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%