Jonas Forejtek vs Mattia Bellucci — Prediction
14/04/2026•12:10
#121
Jonas Forejtek
2:0
6•3
7•5
Finished
#60
Mattia Bellucci
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Mattia Bellucci, the clear favorite (odds 1.33), faces Jonas Forejtek (odds 2.98) in an ATP tournament on clay in Oeiras. Bellucci shows solid form (6W/4L) and excellent performance as a favorite (90% wins). Forejtek, the underdog, demonstrates an ability to win sets (60% of the time against favorites). No known injury alerts. The match could be tighter than the odds suggest.
Our predictions
Mattia Bellucci to Win
Bellucci is the designated favorite (odds 1.33) with superior form (6W/4L vs 5W/5L) and an impressive 90% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches. His current odds (1.33) fall within a range where he is undefeated (100% win rate) over this period. Forejtek, while capable, has only a 30% win rate as an underdog.
1.33
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Non-Grand Slam statistics show both players finish 80% of their matches in 2 sets. Bellucci, as a favorite, wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Forejtek, as an underdog, loses 100% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match (20% for each) is low, supporting the thesis of a quick match in favor of the favorite.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 57% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 33% |
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