Alex De Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic — Prediction
15/04/2026
#6
Alex de Minaur
12:30
Today
#70
Hamad Medjedovic
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X
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2
Match Preview
Alex de Minaur, the clear favorite, faces young Hamad Medjedovic at the Barcelona Open. Recent statistics and the odds reflect the Australian's advantage, but Medjedovic has shown an ability to win sets as an underdog.
Our predictions
Alex de Minaur to Win
De Minaur is the clear favorite (odds 1.41). His win rate as a favorite (60%) and overall form (6 wins in last 10 matches) are solid. He is more experienced and higher-ranked than Medjedovic.
1.41
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The anticipation of a potentially close match (3 sets) or with contested sets increases the likelihood of a high game count. Playing styles could lead to long rallies.
1.88
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
De Minaur often loses a set as a favorite (60% of the time). Medjedovic, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 40% of his recent matches. The probability of a 3-set match is significant.
2.33
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 62% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
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