Joel Schwaerzler vs Chun Hsin Tseng — Prediction
15/04/2026
#124
Joel Schwaerzler
13:30
Today
#89
Chun-Hsin Tseng
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Joel Schwaerzler, the betting favorite, faces Chun-Hsin Tseng in an ATP hard-court match. Schwaerzler shows superior recent form (70% win rate in last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (80%). Tseng, less consistent (40% win rate), however shows a strong tendency to win his matches in 2 sets when favored (100%). No injury alerts are reported.
Our predictions
Joel Schwaerzler to Win
Schwaerzler is the clear favorite (odds 1.72). His recent form is excellent (7W/3L), with an 80% win rate as a favorite. Tseng has only a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches. Performance statistics as a favorite and overall form strongly support Schwaerzler.
1.73
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches (outside Majors) in 2 sets when favored: Schwaerzler 60%, Tseng 100%. The match not being a Major, the probability of a match in 2 sets (2-0 or 0-2 win) is high. This corresponds to 'Under 2.5 Sets'.
1.56
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a high probability of a match in 2 sets (Under 2.5 sets), the total number of games tends to be lower. For the total to exceed 22.5 games in a 2-set match, very tight sets would be needed (e.g., 7-6, 7-6 = 26 games). Tseng's statistics as a favorite (100% of matches in 2 sets) suggest he can win sets more decisively. However, Schwaerzler has a 50% rate of losing a set as a favorite, which could increase the game count. Confidence is therefore medium.
1.79
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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