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Hugo Dellien vs Juan Estevez — Prediction

15/04/202622:25
Hugo Dellien
#11
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Hugo Dellien

2:0
64
63
Finished
Juan Estevez
#233
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Juan Estevez

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1
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X
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2

Match Preview

Hugo Dellien, the clear favorite with odds of 1.22, shows solid form (70% wins in the last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (90% wins). Juan Estevez, the underdog (odds 3.94), has less convincing statistics. The match is played outside of Grand Slam tournaments, favoring a best-of-2-sets format. Statistical analysis suggests a probable victory for Dellien, potentially in two sets.

Our predictions

Hugo Dellien to Win
Hugo Dellien is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.22). His statistics are superior: 70% wins in the last 10 matches, and especially 90% wins when he is the favorite. Juan Estevez wins only 25% of his matches as a favorite and 30% of overall wins in the period. The gap in level and confidence is significant.
1.22
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
The match is played outside of Grand Slam tournaments (best-of-3-sets format). Dellien wins 60% of his matches in 2 sets when he is the favorite, and Estevez loses 75% of his matches as a favorite by losing at least one set. The probability of a match in 2 sets (2-0 victory for Dellien) is high, making 'Under 2.5 sets' a bet consistent with Dellien's victory.
1.42
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with a 2-set victory for Dellien. If Dellien dominates (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total number of games would be 19. A tighter victory (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) would give 22 games. The most likely scenario is a victory in 2 sets without too much resistance, but the possibility of a tight set exists (Dellien loses a set in 40% of cases as a favorite). Confidence is therefore medium.
1.64
Confidence
Medium

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