Preston Brown vs Valentin Basel — Prediction
16/04/2026
Preston / Leonardo
22:00
Today
Valentin / Franco
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X
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Match Preview
Preston Brown faces Valentin Basel in an ATP tournament in Santa Cruz. Brown, with mixed form (3 wins in last 10 matches), is the statistical favorite against Basel who has not won any of his recent matches. The data suggests a likely short match, with a tendency for two-set matches for Brown.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Player statistics indicate a high probability of a two-set match. Brown finished 80% of his matches (non-Grand Slam) in two sets. Basel, in his only recent match, played three sets, but against a weaker favorite. The overall dynamic and low odds (1.3) support this scenario.
1.3
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the prediction of a two-set match (Under 2.5) and Basel's defensive form (0% wins), it is likely that Brown will dominate and the sets will not be close. A 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) or similar scenario is plausible. The odds of 1.8 offer value.
1.8
Confidence
High
Preston Brown to win
Preston Brown holds a significant statistical advantage with 30% wins in his last 10 matches, compared to 0% for Basel. He has more recent match experience and a favorite odds (1.5) reflecting his position. No injuries reported.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 1 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 14% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 28% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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