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Stefan Dostanic - Boris Arias: our prediction

18/04/2026•01:05

Stefan / Alex

2:0

6•3

6•1

Finished

Boris / Johannes

Stefan Dostanic vs Boris Arias Preview — Tallahassee

ATP Challenger match in Tallahassee between Stefan Dostanic (slight favorite) and Boris Arias. Dostanic shows more solid form (5W/5L recently) and excellent performance as a favorite (80% wins). Arias, struggling (1W/5L), seems on the back foot. The match should be tight but Dostanic has the edge.

Our Stefan Dostanic vs Boris Arias predictions

Stefan Dostanic to Win

Dostanic is in better recent form (5W/5L vs 1W/5L for Arias) and shows an 80% win rate as a favorite. His statistics as an outsider (30% wins, 60% to win at least one set) show his competitiveness. Arias has a low win rate (16.7%) and 0% wins as an outsider. The odds of 1.88 offer value.

2.2

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a prediction of a 2-set match (6-4, 6-4 or similar scores), the total games should be around 20. Arias's poor form could lead to wider sets. However, Dostanic often loses a set as a favorite (50%), which could increase the number of games. The bet is reasonable but with moderate confidence.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Stefan Dostanic vs Boris Arias

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Stefan Dostanic vs Boris Arias Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Stefan Dostanic	Boris Arias
Win \| Lose	5 5	1 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%