Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez — Prediction
17/04/2026•20:15
#2
Elena Rybakina
2:1
6•7
6•4
7•6
Finished
#22
Leylah Fernandez
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Elena Rybakina, the clear favorite, faces Leylah Fernandez at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix. Rybakina shows solid form with 80% wins in her last 10 matches and excellent performance as a favorite. Fernandez, more inconsistent, will be able to rely on her fighting spirit to try to create an upset.
Our predictions
Elena Rybakina to Win
Elena Rybakina is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.09). Her statistics are overwhelming: 80% wins in her last 10 matches and 90% wins as a favorite. Her recent form and power game should allow her to prevail against a more inconsistent Leylah Fernandez (50% wins in last 10 matches).
1.09
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Rybakina often finishes her matches quickly when she is the favorite: 80% of her matches (outside Grand Slams) end in 2 sets. Fernandez, although a fighter, has lost 70% of her matches as a favorite while conceding at least one set, but against such a strong opponent, a match in 2 sets is the most likely scenario.
1.29
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
If the match goes to 2 sets as expected, the total number of games should remain moderate. Rybakina, with her powerful serve, can win games quickly. Fernandez might hold her serve in some games, but Rybakina's technical superiority could lead to relatively tight but not necessarily very long sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games). The bet is less certain than the first two.
1.38
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 83% |
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