17/04/2026•23:05

#11

Hugo Dellien

2:0

6•1

6•4

Finished

#56

Valerio Aboian

Match Preview

Hugo Dellien, the clear favorite with odds at 1.11, faces the outsider Valerio Aboian. Dellien shows solid form (80% wins in the last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite. Aboian, with weaker statistics, will need to produce a huge performance to create an upset.

Our predictions

Hugo Dellien to Win

Hugo Dellien is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.11). His statistics are superior: 80% wins in the last 10 matches, 90% wins as a favorite. He has won 100% of his matches with odds between 1.0-1.2 and 1.21-1.5. No known injury alerts. Against Aboian, who is significantly less performant (40% wins, 20% wins as an outsider against an opponent with odds 1.51-1.80), Dellien's victory is very likely.

1.12

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

The analysis of set statistics confirms the tendency for a match in 2 sets. For non-Grand Slam matches, Dellien finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets, and Aboian also 70%. When Dellien is the favorite, he finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets. Aboian, as an outsider, wins a set only 30% of the time ('en3setoutsider' stat at 30%). The combination of Dellien's form and Aboian's difficulty in winning a set makes the 2-set scenario (under 2.5) the most likely.

1.3

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Hugo Dellien	Valerio Aboian
Win \| Lose	8 2	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	60%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	25%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	25%

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