Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Prado — Prediction
18/04/2026•00:30
#198
Matias Soto
0:2
2•6
5•7
Finished
#197
Juan Carlos Prado
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Juan Carlos Prado is the favorite against Matias Soto. Soto shows better recent form (80% win rate) but Prado has a lower odd (1.62) and good performance as a favorite. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a significant chance of 3 sets.
Our predictions
Juan Carlos Prado to Win
Prado is clearly designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odd 1.62 vs 2.18). Although Soto has better recent form (80% vs 70% win rate), Prado has an 80% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches. His favorite status and consistency in that role are major assets.
1.59
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) show a strong trend towards 3 sets: Soto has 20% of matches in 3 sets, Prado 50%. Furthermore, Prado loses at least one set in 60% of his matches as a favorite, while Soto wins a set in 40% of his matches as an underdog. This indicates a high probability of a 3-set match.
2.29
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-6) totals 24 games, while a 3-set match, even with a one-sided set, often surpasses this threshold. Given the probability of 3 sets and the competitive profile of both players, over 22.5 games is a consistent option.
1.98
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 14% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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