Mariano Kestelboim vs Luis Britto — Prediction
18/04/2026•00:55


Mariano / Federico
2:1
6•3
4•6
11•9
Finished


Luis / Marcelo
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1
-
X
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2
Match Preview
Mariano Kestelboim faces Luis Britto in a Santa Cruz tournament. Kestelboim, the favorite with odds of 1.72, shows mixed form (2 wins in last 10 matches) but an excellent statistic of winning in 2 sets when favored (100%). Britto, the underdog, lacks recent data. No injury information available.
Our predictions
Mariano Kestelboim to Win
Kestelboim is the clear favorite (odds 1.72). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% win rate (4/5) and 100% wins in 2 sets (5/5). Despite mixed recent overall form (2W/8L), he faces an opponent, Luis Britto, for whom there is virtually no recent performance data, suggesting a lower level or activity. No injuries reported.
1.72
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with predictions of a Kestelboim win in 2 sets. If the match is played in 2 sets, the total number of games must remain relatively low for 'under 22.5' to hit. Given Kestelboim's tendency to win his favorite matches in 2 sets (potentially with tight scores like 6-4, 6-4 = 20 games, or wider like 6-3, 6-3 = 18 games), and the uncertainty about Britto's resistance, 'under 22.5' is a plausible bet. However, a tight set (e.g., 7-5) could push it over, hence medium confidence.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 0% |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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