Rugby

Tennis

Marta Kostyuk - Veronika Podrez: our prediction

19/04/2026•15:40

Marta Kostyuk

2:0

6•3

6•4

Finished

#108

Veronika Podrez

Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrez Preview — Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole

Marta Kostyuk, the seeded and significantly higher-ranked player, faces qualifier Veronika Podrez in the round of 16 of the WTA tournament in Rouen. Kostyuk is the heavy favorite with odds at 1.13. Recent statistics show her consistency and ability to finish matches quickly when favored.

Our Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrez predictions

Marta Kostyuk to Win

Kostyuk is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.13). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% win rate (8/10) and 100% win rate (5/5) with odds between 1.21 and 1.5. She has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 75% for Podrez in 8 matches, but against much lower-level opposition. The ranking and experience gap is significant.

1.15

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

The match is played as best of 2 winning sets (standard WTA format). The players' statistics outside Grand Slams indicate a strong tendency for 2-set matches: Kostyuk 80% (8/10), Podrez 87.5% (7/8). Furthermore, Kostyuk loses a set as a favorite only 40% of the time (4/10), and Podrez has never lost a set as a favorite (0/3), but she is a heavy underdog here. The dynamics favor a 2-set match.

1.34

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

When favored, Kostyuk finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets (6/10). Podrez, as an outsider, loses 80% of her matches in 2 sets (4/5). Kostyuk has a very low odds (1.13), indicating a likely clear victory. A match in 2 sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) gives 20 games, under 22.5. The probability of a tight 3-set match is low.

1.38

Confidence

High

Market signals on Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrez

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrez Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marta Kostyuk	Veronika Podrez
Win \| Lose	7 3	6 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	14%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%