Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils — Prediction
19/04/2026
#5
Andrey Rublev
16:00
Today
#12
Arthur Fils
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Andrey Rublev, experienced and higher-ranked, faces the young and talented Arthur Fils at the Barcelona Open on clay. Rublev is the underdog according to the odds, but his power and experience could pose problems for Fils, who is in excellent recent form and the logical favorite.
Our predictions
Arthur Fils to Win
Arthur Fils is the clear favorite (odds 1.41). His recent form is excellent (80% win rate in last 10 matches). He is very strong as a favorite (100% win rate in last 10 matches in that role). Rublev struggles as an underdog (only 10% win rate). The surface (clay) suits both, but Fils' form and confidence are decisive.
1.42
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 3-set match. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) yields 24 games. A 3-set match, even with an easy set, often exceeds this limit (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 = 29 games). Given the level of both players and the slow surface in Barcelona, a match with many games is likely.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Although Fils is favored, Rublev has the ability to win sets (50% chance of winning at least one set as an underdog). Furthermore, Fils, even as a favorite, loses a set 30% of the time. On clay, matches are often more competitive. Statistics show 40% of Fils' non-Major matches go to 3 sets, and 50% of Rublev's matches as an underdog do too.
2.38
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 16% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 83% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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