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Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden: our prediction

21/04/2026•11:20

#31

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

2:1

6•3

6•7

6•3

Finished

#100

Guy Den Ouden

Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Guy Den Ouden Preview — Rome

Pierre-Hugues Herbert, experienced but in mixed form, faces the favorite Guy Den Ouden, more consistent and performing better as a favorite. The match could be tight, with a tendency towards two sets.

Our Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Guy Den Ouden predictions

Guy Den Ouden to Win

Guy Den Ouden is the clear favorite (odds 1.48). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 60% win rate overall as a favorite and 80% wins in 2 sets when favorite in the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches. Herbert, on the other hand, has mixed recent form (5 wins, 5 losses in 10 matches) and is less performant as an underdog against favorites in this odds range.

1.53

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Both players have a strong tendency to finish their non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets (70% each in the last 10 matches). Moreover, when Den Ouden is favorite, he wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets. Herbert, as an underdog, loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match is therefore high.

1.54

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a high probability of a two-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games tends to be lower. If Den Ouden wins in relatively tight two sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4 = 20 games) or more comfortably, the total will likely stay under 22.5. The players' recent form suggests sometimes one-sided sets.

1.76

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Guy Den Ouden

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Guy Den Ouden Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Guy Den Ouden
Win \| Lose	5 5	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	37%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%