Darja Semenistaja - Anna-Lena Friedsam: our prediction
21/04/2026•15:55

#110

Darja Semenistaja
2:0
6•4
6•1
Finished

#31

Anna-Lena Friedsam
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1
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X
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2
Darja Semenistaja vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Preview — Oeiras 4
Darja Semenistaja, the clear favorite (odds 1.34), faces Anna-Lena Friedsam (odds 3.08) in Oeiras. Semenistaja shows solid form (5 wins/10 last matches) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (70%) when favored. Friedsam, struggling (2W/10), could offer resistance but the Latvian player starts with a clear statistical advantage.
Our Darja Semenistaja vs Anna-Lena Friedsam predictions
Darja Semenistaja to Win
Semenistaja is the logical favorite (odds 1.34). Her recent form (5W/10) is superior to Friedsam's (2W/10). Her statistics as a favorite are convincing: 60% win rate overall and 70% of her wins come in 2 sets. No known injury alerts.
1.33
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
The players' statistics in non-Grand Slam matches strongly indicate a 2-set match. Semenistaja (favorite) wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets. Friedsam (underdog) loses 80% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5) seems low.
1.44
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
If the match goes to 2 sets as expected, the total number of games should remain moderate. A 2-set win for Semenistaja (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games) or a close loss for Friedsam (e.g., 6-4, 6-4 = 20 games) keeps the total under the 22.5 threshold. Confidence is medium because a very tight set could push it over.
1.56
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Darja Semenistaja vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Darja Semenistaja vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 22% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 16% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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