Daniil Glinka - Stefan Kozlov: our prediction
20/04/2026•20:00

#140

Daniil Glinka
0:2
2•6
3•6
Finished

#124

Stefan Kozlov
-
1
-
X
-
2
Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlov Preview — Savannah
Daniil Glinka, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Stefan Kozlov in an ATP Challenger tournament in Savannah. Recent statistics show a more solid form from Glinka, with a better win rate and a tendency for two-set matches.
Our Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlov predictions
Daniil Glinka to Win
Daniil Glinka is the clear favorite (odds 1.63). In the last 10 matches, he has a win rate of 50% (compared to 20% for Kozlov). As a favorite, his win rate is 60%. Kozlov has an 80% loss rate over the same period. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.
1.67
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Both players have a strong tendency for two-set matches outside of Grand Slams (90% each in the last 10). Glinka, as a favorite, wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets. Kozlov, as an underdog, loses 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match is very high.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a high probability of a two-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games tends to be lower. If Glinka dominates as expected (win in 2 sets), scores like 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) or 6-2, 6-3 (17 games) are plausible. However, a tight set could push it over the threshold, hence medium confidence.
1.74
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlov
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlov Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 75% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 25% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 75% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 75% |
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