Zachary Svajda vs Rei Sakamoto — Prediction
20/04/2026

#79

Zachary Svajda
10:00
Today

#29

Rei Sakamoto
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Madrid Open qualification match between Zachary Svajda and Rei Sakamoto. Sakamoto is the favorite (odds 1.62) but Svajda shows solid form (60% win rate in last 10 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets
Sakamoto (favorite) wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets when favored. Svajda loses 70% of his matches in 2 sets when an underdog. The probability of a two-set match is high.
1.56
Confidence
High
Rei Sakamoto to Win
Sakamoto is the designated favorite (odds 1.62). He has a 70% win rate as a favorite and faces Svajda who wins only 40% of his matches as an underdog. Recent form (60% wins for Svajda, 40% for Sakamoto) favors Svajda, but favorite status and contextual statistics lean towards Sakamoto.
1.62
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a prediction of a two-set match (Under 2.5 sets), the total number of games is highly likely to stay under 22.5. A tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) totals 22 games. The players' trends as favorite/underdog support this scenario.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 22% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 16% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 83% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 40% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 100% |
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