Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas — Prediction
20/04/2026
#35
Arthur Gea
10:00
Today
#118
Vilius Gaubas
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Arthur Gea faces Vilius Gaubas in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Gea, in better recent form (70% wins in last 10 matches), is the underdog against Gaubas, the bookmakers' favorite. The match could be tight, with a tendency for three-set matches for both players.
Our predictions
Vilius Gaubas to Win
Gaubas is the designated favorite (odds 1.70). Although Gea has better recent form, Gaubas has a significantly lower odds, indicating a higher perceived probability of winning. No injury information was found for either player.
1.7
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the probability of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. The tendency for tight sets and the probability of three sets support this bet.
1.88
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Statistics show both players have a strong tendency to play three-set matches when favorite or underdog (50% each for Gea, 40-60% for Gaubas). Gea, in particular, often wins at least one set as an underdog (70%). This suggests a potentially long match.
2.28
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 71% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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