Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction
20/04/2026
#51
Aleksandar Vukic
11:30
Today
#127
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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Match Preview
Aleksandar Vukic faces Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Madrid Open qualification. Vukic, the underdog, has a difficult recent form (2 wins in last 10 matches). Llamas Ruiz, the favorite with odds of 1.20, shows solid form (8 wins out of 10). The match is played on clay, a surface where both players have similar statistics regarding match length. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz to Win
Llamas Ruiz is the clear favorite (odds 1.20). His recent form is excellent (80% win rate in last 10 matches). He has a 100% win rate (4/4) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Vukic has weak form (20% win rate) and a 0% win rate (0/1) as an underdog against a favorite in this odds range. The difference in level and confidence is significant.
1.21
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Player statistics in non-Grand Slam matches indicate a strong tendency for 2-set matches. Llamas Ruiz wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets (8/10). Vukic loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets (8/10). Furthermore, when Llamas Ruiz is the favorite, he only plays 20% of his matches to 3 sets (2/10). The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high.
1.38
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
Llamas Ruiz, as the favorite, has a 2-set win rate of 80% (8/10) in non-Grand Slam matches. Vukic, as the underdog, loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets (8/10). A straight-sets victory (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) typically yields 19 or 20 games. The high probability of a 2-set match favors a total games count under 22.5.
1.6
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 14% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 37% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 62% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 25% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 100% |
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