Darwin Blanch - Benjamin Bonzi: our prediction
20/04/2026•15:15

#198

Darwin Blanch
0:2
3•6
6•7
Finished

#56

Benjamin Bonzi
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1
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X
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2
Darwin Blanch vs Benjamin Bonzi Preview — Madrid Open, Qualification
Benjamin Bonzi, the clear favorite (odds 1.59), faces young Darwin Blanch (odds 2.24) in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Bonzi, more experienced and in better recent form, is expected to win, but the match could be tight.
Our Darwin Blanch vs Benjamin Bonzi predictions
Benjamin Bonzi to Win
Bonzi is the clear favorite (odds 1.59) with superior experience and ranking. His recent form is better (5 wins in 10 matches vs 6/10 for Blanch), and he is very reliable as a favorite (80% win rate). No known injury concerns.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Statistics show a strong trend for 2-set matches for both players outside Majors (70% each). Bonzi, as the favorite, wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The difference in level suggests a short match.
1.56
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a predicted 2-set match (6-4, 6-4 or 6-3, 6-4), the total number of games should be around 20-21. The probability of very tight sets (7-5, 7-6) is lower given Bonzi's form and the gap in level.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Darwin Blanch vs Benjamin Bonzi
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Darwin Blanch vs Benjamin Bonzi Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 90% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
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