Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet — Prediction
20/04/2026
#90
Otto Virtanen
11:30
Today
#14
Titouan Droguet
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X
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2
Match Preview
Madrid Open qualification match between Otto Virtanen and Titouan Droguet. Droguet is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.70) against Virtanen (odds 2.05). Recent statistics show that Droguet is in slightly better form (60% wins in the last 10 matches compared to 50% for Virtanen). Both players tend to play close matches, with a high probability of a 3-set match.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics indicate a strong tendency for 3-set matches. Virtanen has 50% of his non-Slam matches in 3 sets, and Droguet 70%. Furthermore, Droguet, as the favorite, loses at least one set in 70% of cases. Virtanen, as the underdog, wins at least one set in 70% of cases. This makes a 2-set match (straight-sets win) unlikely.
2.28
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
A 3-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Given the players' profiles and the high probability of a 3-set match, the total number of games should be high. Caution is advised as a very tight 2-set match or a 3-set match with one-sided sets remains possible.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Titouan Droguet
Droguet is the designated favorite (odds 1.70) and shows better recent form (60% wins vs 50%). His win rate as a favorite is 70%. However, his strong tendency to lose a set (70%) and Virtanen's ability to win one (70%) make a straight-sets victory difficult, but his overall quality should see him through in what is likely to be a long match.
1.7
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 42% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 85% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 25% | 80% |
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