Nikola Bartunkova vs Katarzyna Kawa — Prediction
20/04/2026
#65
Nikola Bartunkova
10:00
Today
#75
Katarzyna Kawa
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X
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2
Match Preview
Nikola Bartunkova, the clear favorite with odds of 1.38, faces Katarzyna Kawa (odds 2.89) in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Bartunkova shows solid form (60% wins in the last 10 matches) and an excellent win rate as a favorite (100% with odds between 1.0 and 1.2). Kawa, while strong as a favorite (80%), has a weaker profile as an underdog. No injury alerts are reported. The match is played on clay, a demanding surface.
Our predictions
Nikola Bartunkova to Win
Bartunkova is the clear favorite (odds 1.38). Her stats as a favorite are excellent: 100% wins (3/3) with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Her recent form is good (60% wins). Kawa, as an underdog, has only a 30% win rate. The level difference and favorite status support this bet.
1.37
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
The players' statistics on 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams) strongly favor a short match. Bartunkova wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets as a favorite, and Kawa 80%. Furthermore, Kawa has not played any 3-set matches in her last 10 matches (outside Grand Slams). The probability of a 2-set match is high.
1.51
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 25% |
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