Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich — Prediction
20/04/2026
#117
Alina Charaeva
10:00
Today
#29
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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X
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2
Match Preview
Aliaksandra Sasnovich, the clear favorite (odds 1.26), faces Alina Charaeva in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Sasnovich shows solid form and great efficiency in finishing her matches in two sets when favored. Charaeva, the underdog (odds 3.64), has demonstrated an ability to win sets against favorites, but the difference in level and consistency should be decisive.
Our predictions
Victory for Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Sasnovich is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.26). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% overall wins and 90% wins in 2 sets in her last 10 matches outside the Majors. Against a less experienced and less consistent opponent, her consistency and experience should make the difference.
1.26
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Sasnovich finishes 100% of her recent matches (outside Majors) in 2 sets (10/10). As a favorite, this rate is 90%. Charaeva, although she can win a set (60% chance as an underdog), faces a very efficient opponent at closing out matches quickly. The probability of a two-set match is high.
1.4
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 57% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 57% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
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