Cristian Garin vs Ugo Blanchet — Prediction
20/04/2026•10:10

#6

Cristian Garin
2:0
7•5
6•4
Finished

#166

Ugo Blanchet
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Cristian Garin, experienced on clay, faces Ugo Blanchet, a young rising player, in the Madrid Open qualifying round. Garin, more solid and consistent, is the favorite, but Blanchet can be dangerous.
Our predictions
Cristian Garin to Win
Cristian Garin is significantly more experienced and proficient on clay. His recent stats (70% win rate as favorite) and his consistency against opponents of this level make him the logical favorite. No injuries reported.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Garin has a strong tendency to finish his matches in 2 sets when favored (80% in his last 10 non-Major matches). Blanchet, on the other hand, often loses in 2 sets (80% of his recent defeats). The difference in level and experience should result in a short match.
1.8
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match
If the match plays out in 2 straightforward sets, the total number of games is very likely to stay under 22.5. Garin's stats as a favorite and Blanchet's stats in defeat suggest potentially one-sided sets, limiting the total number of games.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
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