Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedi — Prediction
21/04/2026
#123
Marat Sharipov
07:00
Today
#129
Leandro Riedi
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X
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2
Match Preview
Leandro Riedi, the clear favorite (odds 1.34), faces Marat Sharipov (odds 3.02) in an ATP match in Gwangju. Riedi shows more solid form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 50% for Sharipov) and better efficiency as a favorite. No injury alerts reported. The match should be close but Riedi is in a stronger position.
Our predictions
Leandro Riedi to Win
Riedi is the designated favorite (odds 1.34) with superior recent form (6W/4L vs. 5W/5L for Sharipov). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 100% win rate with odds between 1.0-1.2 and 70% overall win rate as a favorite. Sharipov wins only 20% of his matches as an underdog. The momentum and status clearly favor Riedi.
1.46
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Both players have a high rate of matches ending in 2 sets (70% each) in their last 10 non-Grand Slam matches. As a favorite, Riedi finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets. Sharipov, as an underdog, rarely wins a set (only 30% of the time). The probability of a match in two sets is therefore high.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a match in two sets (see previous analysis), the total number of games tends to be lower. If Riedi dominates as expected, tight but not extremely long sets are likely (e.g., 6-4, 6-3 = 19 games). Sharipov's statistic of winning a set only 30% of the time as an underdog supports this scenario.
1.82
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 55% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 33% |
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